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  2. The Long-Inverted Yield Curve Just "Uninverted," but ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/long-inverted-yield-curve-just...

    The blue line on the bottom of the chart shows the same thing in a different way, plotting the mathematical difference between the 10-year and two-year Treasury yields. This line finally turned ...

  3. Spread between 2- and 10-year Treasuries at deepest inversion ...

    www.aol.com/news/us-2yr-10yr-yield-curve...

    The closely-watched spread between the 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury note yields hit the widest since 1981 at -109.50 in early trade, a deeper inversion than in March during the U.S. regional ...

  4. Yield curve - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yield_curve

    10 year minus 2 year treasury yield. In finance, the yield curve is a graph which depicts how the yields on debt instruments – such as bonds – vary as a function of their years remaining to maturity. [ 1][ 2] Typically, the graph's horizontal or x-axis is a time line of months or years remaining to maturity, with the shortest maturity on ...

  5. Inverted yield curve - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_yield_curve

    An inverted yield curve is an unusual phenomenon; bonds with shorter maturities generally provide lower yields than longer term bonds. [2] [3] To determine whether the yield curve is inverted, it is a common practice to compare the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond to either a 2-year Treasury note or a 3-month Treasury bill. If the 10 ...

  6. Federal funds rate - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_funds_rate

    Federal funds rate vs unemployment rate. In the United States, the federal funds rate is the interest rate at which depository institutions (banks and credit unions) lend reserve balances to other depository institutions overnight on an uncollateralized basis. Reserve balances are amounts held at the Federal Reserve.

  7. Professor behind recession indicator with a perfect track ...

    www.aol.com/finance/professor-behind-recession...

    The inverted yield curve indicator, which occurs when the yield on three-month Treasury bills exceeds the yield on 10-year notes, is a perfect 8-for-8 in preceding every recession since World War II.

  8. Early 1990s recession in the United States - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Early_1990s_recession_in...

    10 year Treasury bond minus 2 year Treasury bond The United States entered a recession in 1990 , which lasted 8 months through March 1991. [ 1 ] Although the recession was mild relative to other post-war recessions, [ 2 ] it was characterized by a sluggish employment recovery, most commonly referred to as a jobless recovery .

  9. Explainer-U.S. yield curve inversion: What is it telling us?

    www.aol.com/news/explainer-part-u-yield-curve...

    The U.S. Treasury yield curve inverted on Tuesday for the first time since 2019, as investors priced in an aggressive rate-hiking plan by the Federal Reserve as it attempts to bring inflation down ...