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Structural break. In econometrics and statistics, a structural break is an unexpected change over time in the parameters of regression models, which can lead to huge forecasting errors and unreliability of the model in general. [ 1][ 2][ 3] This issue was popularised by David Hendry, who argued that lack of stability of coefficients frequently ...
Periodogram. In signal processing, a periodogram is an estimate of the spectral density of a signal. The term was coined by Arthur Schuster in 1898. [ 1] Today, the periodogram is a component of more sophisticated methods (see spectral estimation ). It is the most common tool for examining the amplitude vs frequency characteristics of FIR ...
Time series. In mathematics, a time series is a series of data points indexed (or listed or graphed) in time order. Most commonly, a time series is a sequence taken at successive equally spaced points in time. Thus it is a sequence of discrete-time data. Examples of time series are heights of ocean tides, counts of sunspots, and the daily ...
In time series analysis, the moving-average model ( MA model ), also known as moving-average process, is a common approach for modeling univariate time series. [ 1][ 2] The moving-average model specifies that the output variable is cross-correlated with a non-identical to itself random-variable. Together with the autoregressive (AR) model, the ...
A PDF file is organized using ASCII characters, except for certain elements that may have binary content. The file starts with a header containing a magic number (as a readable string) and the version of the format, for example %PDF-1.7. The format is a subset of a COS ("Carousel" Object Structure) format. [23]
In the statistical analysis of time series, autoregressive–moving-average ( ARMA) models provide a parsimonious description of a (weakly) stationary stochastic process in terms of two polynomials, one for the autoregression (AR) and the second for the moving average (MA). The general ARMA model was described in the 1951 thesis of Peter ...
Cointegration. Cointegration is a statistical property of a collection (X1, X2, ..., Xk) of time series variables. First, all of the series must be integrated of order d (see Order of integration ). Next, if a linear combination of this collection is integrated of order less than d, then the collection is said to be co-integrated.
Autoregressive integrated moving average. In statistics and econometrics, and in particular in time series analysis, an autoregressive integrated moving average ( ARIMA) model is a generalization of an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model. To better comprehend the data or to forecast upcoming series points, both of these models are fitted ...