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Measures of economic activity have historically risen and fallen in a pattern known as the business cycle. The business cycle contains 4 distinct phases: early, mid, late, and recession. History offers guidance as to how various types of investments might perform during each phase.
An economic cycle, also known as a business cycle, refers to economic fluctuations between periods of expansion and contraction. Factors such as gross domestic product (GDP), interest rates,...
The line chart below tracks the current business cycle according to the rise and fall of gross domestic product.
The business cycle is the time it takes the economy to go through all four phases of the cycle: expansion, peak, contraction, and trough.
A business cycle is a cycle of fluctuations in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) around its long-term natural growth rate. It explains the expansion and contraction in economic activity that an economy experiences over time.
A business cycle is the repetitive economic changes that take place in a country over a period. It is identified through the variations in the GDP along with other macroeconomics indexes. The four phases of the business cycle are expansion, peak, contraction, and trough.
The model yields a monthly indicator of the U.S. business cycles and probabilities of recessions and expansions when applied to the same series used by the NBER: nonagricultural employment, real personal income, real manufacturing and trade sales, and industrial production.
Definition. The business cycle is the four stages of economic growth. Learn more about each stage and what they mean for businesses and consumers.
Downloadable Excel File of Business Cycle Expansions and Contractions and .PDF version. JSON file format. FAQs and additional information on how the NBER's Business Cycle Dating Committee identifies turning points. Business cycle data last updated: 03/14/2023
Business cycle indicators (BCI) are composite indexes of leading, lagging, and coincident indicators. BCI is used to analyze and predict trends and turning points in an economy. Various public...