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Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided ). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race. Source of poll aggregation.
Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...
The first general election debate between the major candidates of the 2024 United States presidential election was sponsored by CNN and attended by presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden and presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump on June 27, 2024. Biden withdrew from the race in July, and Kamala Harris was selected to replace him, while ...
In the leadup to Biden's withdrawal, 538 was the only professional election forecaster to give Biden majority odds of winning the 2024 election. [93] Silver has criticized Morris's model, describing it as at best ignoring the polls and giving Biden positive odds merely due to his incumbency, and at worst as being "buggy". [93] [94]
A slight majority of Americans have a negative opinion of Harris, according to FiveThirtyEight polling, citing polls conducted before Biden dropped out. Some 51% of Americans disapprove of Harris ...
In an average of 14 national polls, Harris has edged ahead of Trump by 2.7 points, an analysis by FiveThirtyEight found.. That's a big jump from the days after Biden exited the race, when ...
2024. 2028 →. v. t. e. This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2024 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among ...
July 16, 2024 at 2:12 PM. The 538 predictive model for the 2024 presidential election shows President Biden more likely to win than former President Trump — Biden’s best odds since May. The ...