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2. An Essay Towards Solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances

   en.wikipedia.org/wiki/An_Essay_towards_solving_a...

   The essay includes an example of a man trying to guess the ratio of "blanks" and "prizes" at a lottery. So far the man has watched the lottery draw ten blanks and one prize. Given these data, Bayes showed in detail how to compute the probability that the ratio of blanks to prizes is between 9:1 and 11:1 (the probability is low - about 7.7%).

3. Eightfold path (policy analysis) - Wikipedia

   en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eightfold_Path_(policy...

   The eightfold path is a method of policy analysis assembled by Eugene Bardach, a professor at the Goldman School of Public Policy at the University of California, Berkeley. [ 1] It is outlined in his book A Practical Guide for Policy Analysis: The Eightfold Path to More Effective Problem Solving, which is now in its seventh edition. [ 2]

4. Problem solving - Wikipedia

   en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Problem_solving

   e. Problem solving is the process of achieving a goal by overcoming obstacles, a frequent part of most activities. Problems in need of solutions range from simple personal tasks (e.g. how to turn on an appliance) to complex issues in business and technical fields. The former is an example of simple problem solving (SPS) addressing one issue ...

5. A Modest Proposal - Wikipedia

   en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Modest_Proposal

   A painting of Jonathan Swift. Swift's essay is widely held to be one of the greatest examples of sustained irony in the history of English literature.Much of its shock value derives from the fact that the first portion of the essay describes the plight of starving beggars in Ireland, so that the reader is unprepared for the surprise of Swift's solution when he states: "A young healthy child ...

6. Creative problem-solving - Wikipedia

   en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Creative_problem-solving

   Creative problem-solving ( CPS) [ 1] is the mental process of searching for an original and previously unknown solution to a problem. To qualify, the solution must be novel and reached independently. [ 1][ 2] The creative problem-solving process was originally developed by Alex Osborn and Sid Parnes. Creative problem solving (CPS) is a way of ...

7. Critical thinking - Wikipedia

   en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Critical_thinking

   Critical thinking is the analysis of available facts, evidence, observations, and arguments in order to form a judgement by the application of rational, skeptical, and unbiased analyses and evaluation. [ 1] The application of critical thinking includes self-directed, self-disciplined, self-monitored, and self- corrective habits of the mind; [ 2 ...