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  2. Spread between 2- and 10-year Treasuries at deepest inversion ...

    www.aol.com/news/us-2yr-10yr-yield-curve...

    The closely-watched spread between the 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury note yields hit the widest since 1981 at -109.50 in early trade, a deeper inversion than in March during the U.S. regional ...

  3. The Long-Inverted Yield Curve Just "Uninverted," but ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/long-inverted-yield-curve-just...

    The term "yield curve" is a way of visually describing how interest rates on bonds and other bond-like instruments vary with different maturities. Longer-term bonds (20-year and even 30-year ...

  4. ‘Black Swan’ hedge funder warns a recession is coming this ...

    www.aol.com/finance/black-swan-hedge-funder...

    And currently, the U.S. 3-month yield has been higher than the 10-year yield for 22 months, the longest inversion in history. However, the inversion of this yield curve isn’t the true recession ...

  5. Inverted yield curve - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_yield_curve

    An inverted yield curve is an unusual phenomenon; bonds with shorter maturities generally provide lower yields than longer term bonds. [2] [3] To determine whether the yield curve is inverted, it is a common practice to compare the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond to either a 2-year Treasury note or a 3-month Treasury bill. If the 10 ...

  6. Yield curve - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yield_curve

    10 year minus 2 year treasury yield. In finance, the yield curve is a graph which depicts how the yields on debt instruments – such as bonds – vary as a function of their years remaining to maturity. [ 1][ 2] Typically, the graph's horizontal or x-axis is a time line of months or years remaining to maturity, with the shortest maturity on ...

  7. Key recession indicator sends investors sharpest warning in ...

    www.aol.com/finance/key-recession-indicator...

    Loaded 0%. The Treasury market is sending its sharpest warning about recession risks since 1981. On Tuesday, the difference in the yield on 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes further inverted, with ...

  8. Federal funds rate - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_funds_rate

    In the United States, the federal funds rate is the interest rate at which depository institutions (banks and credit unions) lend reserve balances to other depository institutions overnight on an uncollateralized basis. Reserve balances are amounts held at the Federal Reserve. Institutions with surplus balances in their accounts lend those ...

  9. Professor behind recession indicator with a perfect track ...

    www.aol.com/finance/professor-behind-recession...

    The inverted yield curve indicator, which occurs when the yield on three-month Treasury bills exceeds the yield on 10-year notes, is a perfect 8-for-8 in preceding every recession since World War II.